Oil prices experienced a significant decline today, pressured by two key factors: a larger-than-expected increase in U.S. crude oil stockpiles and a de-escalation of tensions in the Middle East.
The primary driver of the drop was a report from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) revealing a much steeper rise in U.S. crude inventories than analysts had anticipated. The data showed a jump of 2.7 million barrels, exceeding forecasts of 1.6 million barrels. This build follows a previous increase of 5.8 million barrels the week before, suggesting a potential trend of rising stockpiles.

Contributing to the price slump were easing concerns about a wider conflict in the Middle East. Recent tensions had sparked fears of disruption to oil supplies from the region, a major global producer. However, signs of a potential diplomatic resolution appear to have calmed those anxieties.
The price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures, the U.S. benchmark, settled at $82.69 per barrel, reflecting a decrease of 3.1%. Brent oil futures, the global benchmark, also fell by 3%, closing at $87.29 per barrel.
While a drop in gasoline inventories offered a hint of rising demand in the world’s largest fuel consumer, the overall trend pointed towards a well-supplied market.
This, coupled with the easing of geopolitical tensions, weighed heavily on oil prices.
Looking ahead, the future trajectory of oil prices will depend on several factors. How global oil production develops, the path of interest rates, and the health of the global economy will all play a role in determining whether prices rebound or continue their downward slide.